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Labour and financial markets, Avatrade comments
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As Labour wins the UK General Election, we ask Kate Leaman, Chief Market Analyst at AvaTrade, what will a Labour government mean for the financial markets.
“Labour’s electoral triumph is set to have a small impact on the financial markets as the party’s victory has been anticipated ever since the election date was announced. The FTSE 100 received a slight boost of 0.45% after the markets initially opened, but quickly dropped in the subsequent hours. Nevertheless, with inflation down to 2% and the UK economy growing 0.7% in Q1, the FTSE 100 has risen over 5% this year, surpassing 8,000 points and could hit 10,000 with stable politics.”
“Historically, markets have shown negative reactions immediately after a Labour win, but this might change due to Labour’s current centrist policies that focus on growth and careful fiscal management. Since the election results were announced, mid-cap companies in the FTSE 250, which reflects the UK's domestic economy, have reported larger gains, climbing higher and performing better than the international focused FTSE100.”
“Looking ahead, Labour’s win in the UK General Election may trigger mixed effects on the markets. Sectors such as banking, homebuilding, food and retail could witness gains due to Labour's policies aimed at political stability, affordable housing, and encouraging private sector investments. For instance, Labour’s housing plans might help stocks like Barratt Developments and Taylor Wimpey.”
“However, transportation and energy sectors may face turbulence. With Labour’s intentions to nationalize the railways and increase the Energy Profits Levy, this could lead to difficulties in these industries. Nationalization might burden transportation firms, while higher taxes and stricter regulations can impact energy companies. These plans could hurt firms like Trainline and Severn Trent.”
“Labour’s victory could also shape the future of crypto regulations as the party has shown interest in promoting technological innovation, including crypto, by proposing policies that may foster a more favourable regulatory environment for crypto businesses.”